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Tag Archives: Beijing

Turmoil in China’s Stock Markets Takes a Psychic Toll

A few posts ago we made the point that we should all count our lucky stars that we were not some newly middle class guy in China who leveraged his home to play the stock market.

If however you are that guy and you are reading this know that at the very least you have our sincerest sympathies. Though that doesn’t pay the margin call we understand.

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“A grave mistake,” China steps up support to arrest stock market slide

The Ultimate Crony Capitalist State is feeling a bit unstable right now. Instability is the great enemy of the Chinese Communist Party. The market mechanism continues to bleed through all across the Chinese economy and Beijing is getting (more) nervous. The state “capitalism” miracle is looking a lot less miraculous these days.

The Chinese stock market is off over 20% since mid June. (Though still up more than that for the year.) A property bubble continues to pop. Exports have slowed. Change is in the air. Of course it’s been in the air before.

Now it looks like China may have deployed its own version of the “Plunge Protection Team” to hold back reality. Thing is reality is reality.

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De-Dollarization Accelerates As More Of Washington’s “Allies” Defect To China-Led Bank

He who is prudent and lies in wait for an enemy who is not, will be victorious. – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

Being unconquerable lies with yourself; being conquerable lies with your enemy. – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

As we’ve said before, the SHTF moment to watch for is the day the dollar loses reserve currency status. As we’ve also said, this day is still probably pretty far off. But one gets the sense that things are very fluid and increasingly so in the global money game these days. It’s almost like a financial “cold war.” Nothing happening which is too hot. Which forces any drastic moves. But a war is being waged none-the-less. The US and dollar dominance are under sustained attack and unfortunately we have exposed ourselves thanks to our profligate ways.

Can we get our act together? Can we act like adults in coming years? I don’t know. We take too much for granted. We’ve been fat and happy for a very long time. Perhaps we aren’t hungry enough.

I do think America can be hungry (in the good sense) again however. But there needs to be fresh blood in leadership – political, financial, and elsewhere.

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In perhaps an “unprecedented” move UK joins Chinese rival to World Bank as a founding member

This is a big deal and reflects the profound lack of confidence the world has with the current global banking regime. That Britain would do this, in spite of our general objection, is very significant.

As we have said in the past, an important thing to watch for is the moment the dollar is no longer the “world reserve currency.” When that happens the game fundamentally changes. We can’t print forever any longer and the reality of the market hits. We are still far from that point, but Britain joining the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank certainly is a solid move toward a post-dollar reserve currency world.

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China Reports Worst Industrial Production Data Ever Outside Of The Global Financial Crisis

China is the ultimate crony capitalist state, surpassing even Russia (see the previous post) in that regard.

I recently had the pleasure of talking with an economist who specializes in China and who works for the US government. He said that getting some types of business done in China, particularly anything around energy is nearly impossible. The Chinese government sets a price for energy, tells the plants how much to produce whether or not that works with the set price (which it typically does not) which then creates all sorts of downstream distortions in other parts of the economy.

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“Magic” Collateral: A Frank Look At The Sheer Credit Horror About To Be Unleashed In China

China is an amazing political and economic entity. Watching it is fascinating.

Is it slowing? How much? Is it a lot? Is it a lot more than even the pessimists think? Is the Chinese banking system looking at a “black hole moment”? Can the banks be bailed out by the Chinese central bank without setting off a worldwide economic wildfire? No one knows the answer to these questions, including the powers that be in China.

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Bank Of China Denies Default

Uh oh. Things in the Ultimate Crony Capitalist State (UCCS aka China) are not going well. One gets a sense that an economic block may have just been removed somewhere (or perhaps a bandage ripped off) and things are flowing again in the economy.

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