Is the unwind here? It appears so. It’s coming sooner or later anyway and people are coming to terms with this. “Sentiment” is shifting.
To paraphrase David Stockman – The world’s central banks have not suspended the market mechanism. They can kick the can, they can lie, they can move assets around on balance sheets, they can even call debts assets. But in the end there is no free lunch.
… With the US on the same path but a bit behind.
A very well done video on the Japanese debt crisis. Anyone who cares about the world economy should have some understanding of what is going on currently in the world’s 3rd largest economy.
There is a chill moving through markets right now. The great central bank experiment of the last 5 years (the acute version) is misfiring again. As they say—you can’t get something for nothing, and the experiment which has failed the lower and middle classes of the Western world is now failing the monied classes. At least at this moment and in Japan. The markets which were feeling pretty good about themselves (for the most part, though Japan has had significant volatility recently) aren’t feeling so good.
The world is coming to terms with the possible end of QE, and like a heroin addict whose methadone prescription may soon run out, markets are getting very nervous.
Art Cashin the dean of the NYSE floor stopped short of saying that out and out manipulation was happening in Japanese after markets trading.
So the Fed is going to “taper” away the quantitative easing, the printing of money, in which it is currently engaged. Bernanke (or Larry Summers—shudder) will one day allow interest rates to rise back to normal levels. Don’t worry, the economy will emerge from this radical economic experiment and all will be well. You’ll see. Ben promises.
Over the last 25 years we’ve gone from one Fed created bubble to the next. Now the central banks of the world are pushing into new frontiers of money printing and they are likely creating a bubble which will result in an unprecedented bust.
It wasn’t long ago that such an idea was beyond the pale. No longer.
Just one more hit. That will make everything better. Just…one…more…hit……….
Not only is the Bank of Japan going to buy huge amounts of government bonds, but it’s also going to buy stocks, ETFs, and real estate investment trusts.