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Tag Archives: bubble

MARK CUBAN: This is just the start of the college implosion

My wife and I were just talking about how we hoped the student debt bubble would hurry up and deflate. We have kids to put through school in the not too distant future and the sooner things settle out the better. The current situation cannot continue. Tuitions are unsustainable. Student debt has fueled a bubble in the University system and it is going to end. Perhaps badly.

This week we may have gotten a glimpse of things to come. Just down the road from me, Sweet Briar College has decided to close up shop. Mark Cuban thinks it’s the first of many.

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The world is headed for another debt ‘heart attack’

Debt is addictive. Once one gets on the stuff it is nearly impossible to get off of. And like all hard drugs, sooner or later debt will extract its toll. It certainly did in 2008. But instead of getting sober and real after that fateful year the world went on a binge instead. Not a very healthy thing to do. There will be pain, likely quite a lot of pain when the debt stops “working.”

When will reality come calling? It already has in many parts of the globe. But even the instability we see now is likely only a precursor of what is on the way.

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Life in the “Income Depression”

Newsflash! Things are not good economically.

Most people make significantly less in inflation adjusted terms than they did prior to the 2008 Crash. And it should be noted that the economy prior to the Crash felt pretty hollow too. People forget this now. But nearly everyone was living off of the housing bubble in the Bush years. That’s why it hurt so bad when housing ate it.

Remember the sea of realtors? At one point – around 2006 – it was basically impossible to go to a barbecue without meeting a realtor or a mortgage person. Idiot sons across the country were making money hand over fist, buying Suburbans, and getting in on rental properties. Where did all those people go? Actually don’t tell me. That the depression has wiped out this crowd is one the few positive outcomes of the last few years in my estimation.

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Dow down almost 300 points at this moment, Fear of a Fed created bubble chills markets

In the attached article from CNBC the point is made that the real bubble is likely an inflated confidence in the Federal Reserve.That come what may, the Fed will intervene in markets and buoy them. So what if stocks are over extended, Yellen and the FOMC will save the banker’s posteriors. As we’ve said before this sounds very much like “housing prices always go up” to us. If sentiment regarding the Fed were to change, if traders were to fear that things were bigger than the Fed, a downdraft could be wicked.

We’ll see. There’ve been many blips over the past 5 years and for the most part the pro-Fed folks have been right as far as equity prices are concerned. (Little else.) Maybe this is just another blip on the way to Dow 20,000 and beyond.

But maybe not.

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10 peaking megabubbles signal impending stock crash (?)

It’s been an interesting if not fun ride up in the markets. Through a 6-year economic slowdown stock markets have rallied and rallied and rallied. Everyone assumes that the Fed is backstopping the market, that it has to for political reasons. So people have piled in even though earnings and economic indicators have been generally lackluster. Sounds almost like “house prices never go down.”

But not quite.

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Are we looking at a “global deflationary shock” triggered by the Fed?

The economic tide has been going out for quite a while, but the pace has just quickened in emerging markets – big time. Things have become quite unsteady and no one knows whether the current instability will trigger something broader in the developed economies. China is slowing. Japan has horns locked with China economically and increasingly politically. Europe is catching its breath before another wave rolls through.

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“Housing Bubble 2.0″ – Same As “Housing Bubble 1.0″; Just Different Actors

The first real percolation in the housing industry in the USA, post first bubble, was in Washington DC and New York City. Why? Because that is where the Federal Reserve spigots are. Newly printed money flowed through the system to government contractors and bankers first. Manhattan and DC real estate barely saw the recession, the crony capitalists did quite well over the last 5 years.

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