My wife and I were just talking about how we hoped the student debt bubble would hurry up and deflate. We have kids to put through school in the not too distant future and the sooner things settle out the better. The current situation cannot continue. Tuitions are unsustainable. Student debt has fueled a bubble in the University system and it is going to end. Perhaps badly.
This week we may have gotten a glimpse of things to come. Just down the road from me, Sweet Briar College has decided to close up shop. Mark Cuban thinks it’s the first of many.
It’s a simple truism. Everything, everything, has a cost. What appears to be free isn’t. Debt fueled spending? That comes from somewhere. It’s not like the law of thermodynamics was somehow suspended for economic purposes.
But many people act like it has been. This is folly.
Has anyone else noticed that the world has been in a depression since 2008? And NOW they’ve lost “control”?
Fundamentally it comes down to whether one thinks one can get something for nothing. If it has been your experience that something can actually be gotten for nothing, no work, no money, no “other people’s money,” no blood, then congratulations. You live in an easier world than the rest of us. If however you are inclined to think that for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, then perhaps you should be concerned about the piles of sovereign debt stretching into the wispy stratosphere.
The stakes are now so high for the proponents of central bank debt creation that even if they saw the error of their ways (unlikely) they will still run us off a cliff if unchecked.
But don’t worry. The market is up, we’re at a 5.6% unemployment rate, so the fact that not even half of student borrowers can afford their college debt is nothing to worry about. It’s not like we need young people to buy houses or start businesses. No, no, everything is just fine in the crony economy. So long as the professors get paid that’s what really matters.
(From The Washington Examiner)
Of the group that left school in 2009 with only $1,000 to $5,000 in debt, nearly 60 percent either have been delinquent, have defaulted (meaning that they fell 270 days behind on a payment), or have balances larger today than they were in 2009, because of deferrals or other delayed-repayment programs. Many of those troubled borrowers are non-graduates who took out some debt but then did not finish college and accordingly missed out on higher-paying jobs that could have helped them handle their loan payments.
Many people with starting balances over $50,000 or $100,000 also had higher balances today than in 2009. Those were more likely to be students who got professional degrees and then used income-based repayment programs, which cap payments as a share of income and then eventually forgive the debt after 20 or 25 years. That could ultimately prove financially advantageous for those borrowers, but in the meantime, the New York Fed notes, those borrowers’ credit scores will suffer as their loan balances aren’t getting paid down.
Click here for the article.
Debt is addictive. Once one gets on the stuff it is nearly impossible to get off of. And like all hard drugs, sooner or later debt will extract its toll. It certainly did in 2008. But instead of getting sober and real after that fateful year the world went on a binge instead. Not a very healthy thing to do. There will be pain, likely quite a lot of pain when the debt stops “working.”
When will reality come calling? It already has in many parts of the globe. But even the instability we see now is likely only a precursor of what is on the way.
Hard to buy a house when one already has the equivalent of a mortgage attached to one’s name. Hard to start a family when the Sallie Mae payments take all the money for diapers. Hard to start a business when one enters the world already less than zero on the capital ledger.
Zero’s hard enough.
The problem is easy money to students. Think about it. Who in their right mind lends $50,000 to an 18 year old who has never had a real job, no credit history, etc? The federal government does.
Sorry baby boomers but you are killing us. You enjoyed an economic rising tide for pretty much your whole lives (a tide which today’s young adults can’t even dream of) and, well, if you haven’t squared yourself away financially by now (I am speaking generationally here) I don’t have a whole lot of sympathy. The money is running out. Sorry. I’m not inclined to run my financial life and that of my country into the ground just because you’ve been “promised” a certain standard of living.
It sounds harsh, and perhaps in some ways it is. But you’ve gotten the breaks. You got to party. You guys divorced each other, did blow, and leveraged the country to meet your “needs.” Now my generation has to clean things up and put things in order, like adults.
The recent proposal from the president to have the middle class pay for community college for “everyone” (Largely by raising taxes on 529 plans. How stupid is that?) is little more than an attempt to buy votes from potential students who don’t know better and to reward a university industry which overwhelmingly supports the president.
Again it is the middle class, not the rich (as has been sold) which will pay for this.
Below is a not so modest proposal for a better way. It has some merit. This is not an endorsement, but it deserves thought. We certainly need to stop the academic gravy train in this country and government sponsored debt servitude.
Easier credit for student borrowers means tuitions go up. This is turn means higher debt loads for students. Then the cycle repeats.