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Tag Archives: Fed

Fed Ending QE Is Not the End of Easy Money (And welcome to “easy oil.”)

The bankers are all sighing with relief. It looks like they weathered yet another fit in the markets.

Is there a “Yellen put” in place? Yes. But more accurately it is a “Federal Reserve put.” It’s been around for quite a while. We don’t have real prices. We don’t have a real market.

Also one thing which is not really discussed often in depth is the degree to which the petrodollar plays into all of this. Oil goes down in price, the dollar typically goes higher (and vice versa,  also oil is priced in dollars on the world market) and lower fuel prices juice the American economy. It may be that fracking, and the oil supply it has created (along with a Saudi Arabia which has turned on the spigots, likely to hammer the economies of Russia and Iran who are both hurt by a Saudi created glut) is actually the most important “monetary” tool right now.

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The market is rigged? No : ‘Plunge protection’ behind market’s sudden recovery

The “plunge protection team” (PPT) used to be something which was whispered about. Now it’s openly discussed in the New York Post. Hell will become a frost covered plain before the New York Times  will ever mention the PPT of course.

As I have written before, there is an understanding among traders post-2008. If the market heads into a nose dive the Fed will intervene. It will actively buy futures (and likely whatever else it has to) in the market to buoy the market.

The PPT is kind of like the Israeli nuclear program. No one acknowledges it officially but almost everyone thinks it exists and as such this impacts markets.

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Is the fix in? ‘Stunning’ Fed move put bottom under stocks: Traders

This fundamentally has been the bet of traders of all kinds for the past 3 1/2 years or so. If things get too bad in the markets the Federal Reserve will come to the rescue. The belief is that the Fed is bigger than the market. That come what may the shamans can offer a “wink and a nod” and all will be well. That is what these guys think they saw today.

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No Happy Ending for Investors in Central Bank Fairy Tale

Ah yes, all the hokus pokus is less magic and more smoke and mirrors. Some of us have said this for a long time. But in the wake of Japan falling back into recession, Europe’s continued depression, China’s slowing, and the ongoing troubles in the United States one gets the sense that on some level the grand poobahs of central banking are just tired. The act can only go on for so long. Sooner or later it has to end. Really the Bank of International Settlements, the central bank of central banks turned on the lights earlier this year.

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Peter Thiel: We are in a government bubble of massive size (Video)

I mean sure, but what does “massive” really mean? He could have said “super-duper colossal” bubble and that would have been way worse right? It’s not until we’re in super-duper bubble territory that we need to worry? Right?

Um, right?

Gee, where’d everybody go? I have some stocks and bonds I need to sell.

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Elizabeth Warren: When Going Got Tough, Obama Admin ‘Picked Wall Street’

Given that she supported renewing the Export-Import Bank of the United States, Boeing’s bank, one of the most egregious examples of crony capitalism there is, Ms. Warren also chose to support Wall Street. Additionally, her baby the Consumer Financial Financial Board is (illegally?) housed within the Federal Reserve (not subject to Congressional funding oversight) and has become a lobbyist mill already.

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