End the Fed. But Volker at least had the guts to raise rates to insane levels and effectively crushed 1970s inflation. If we had sound money he would not have had to do that of course. (Nor would he have had the power.)
Of the 4 chiefs still alive Volker is my favorite. Or at least the one I dislike least.
Scalise discusses a number of things in the attached interview, including the Keystone Pipeline, the minimum wage, and “bipartisanship” (fear bipartisanship). But the most important nugget is that it looks like Congress will force a Fed audit onto Obama’s desk and he will have to sign it or veto it.*
The bankers are all sighing with relief. It looks like they weathered yet another fit in the markets.
Is there a “Yellen put” in place? Yes. But more accurately it is a “Federal Reserve put.” It’s been around for quite a while. We don’t have real prices. We don’t have a real market.
Also one thing which is not really discussed often in depth is the degree to which the petrodollar plays into all of this. Oil goes down in price, the dollar typically goes higher (and vice versa, also oil is priced in dollars on the world market) and lower fuel prices juice the American economy. It may be that fracking, and the oil supply it has created (along with a Saudi Arabia which has turned on the spigots, likely to hammer the economies of Russia and Iran who are both hurt by a Saudi created glut) is actually the most important “monetary” tool right now.
If it does, and eventually it will, watch out. We will enter completely new economic territory. You think things have been wild since 2008? If people truly call out the emperor as naked, if that becomes the consensus, holy moly, are things going to get interesting.
This is a great video. Peter Thiel of Paypal fame (he was also the first investor in Facebook, among other things) speaks of the “slow impoverishment” of the United States through inflation and regulation.
He is dead on.
And then the obvious question is – “Where do the central bankers get all this money?”
Only a few people think about that, and half of the people thinking about it don’t care that this “money” comes from nowhere. All they care about is the next quarter, the next day, the next tick, whatever helps them through their withdrawal.
The “plunge protection team” (PPT) used to be something which was whispered about. Now it’s openly discussed in the New York Post. Hell will become a frost covered plain before the New York Times will ever mention the PPT of course.
As I have written before, there is an understanding among traders post-2008. If the market heads into a nose dive the Fed will intervene. It will actively buy futures (and likely whatever else it has to) in the market to buoy the market.
The PPT is kind of like the Israeli nuclear program. No one acknowledges it officially but almost everyone thinks it exists and as such this impacts markets.