The bankers are all sighing with relief. It looks like they weathered yet another fit in the markets.
Is there a “Yellen put” in place? Yes. But more accurately it is a “Federal Reserve put.” It’s been around for quite a while. We don’t have real prices. We don’t have a real market.
Also one thing which is not really discussed often in depth is the degree to which the petrodollar plays into all of this. Oil goes down in price, the dollar typically goes higher (and vice versa, also oil is priced in dollars on the world market) and lower fuel prices juice the American economy. It may be that fracking, and the oil supply it has created (along with a Saudi Arabia which has turned on the spigots, likely to hammer the economies of Russia and Iran who are both hurt by a Saudi created glut) is actually the most important “monetary” tool right now.
I was recently talking with senior wonk in Washington DC about this very issue. Why was it for all the think tanks, all the white papers, all the fits and crying in the media about this issue and that, that policy on the big issues hardly ever changes to reflect the will of the American people?
My friend thought basically the same as the author interviewed in the attached article. There is a surface level government and then there is the “deep state,” a place where massive power is housed, and wielded by largely faceless and mostly unaccountable managers who have agendas which are often very different from what you and I might want.
This is a great video. Peter Thiel of Paypal fame (he was also the first investor in Facebook, among other things) speaks of the “slow impoverishment” of the United States through inflation and regulation.
He is dead on.
And then the obvious question is – “Where do the central bankers get all this money?”
Only a few people think about that, and half of the people thinking about it don’t care that this “money” comes from nowhere. All they care about is the next quarter, the next day, the next tick, whatever helps them through their withdrawal.
The “plunge protection team” (PPT) used to be something which was whispered about. Now it’s openly discussed in the New York Post. Hell will become a frost covered plain before the New York Times will ever mention the PPT of course.
As I have written before, there is an understanding among traders post-2008. If the market heads into a nose dive the Fed will intervene. It will actively buy futures (and likely whatever else it has to) in the market to buoy the market.
The PPT is kind of like the Israeli nuclear program. No one acknowledges it officially but almost everyone thinks it exists and as such this impacts markets.
Ah yes, all the hokus pokus is less magic and more smoke and mirrors. Some of us have said this for a long time. But in the wake of Japan falling back into recession, Europe’s continued depression, China’s slowing, and the ongoing troubles in the United States one gets the sense that on some level the grand poobahs of central banking are just tired. The act can only go on for so long. Sooner or later it has to end. Really the Bank of International Settlements, the central bank of central banks turned on the lights earlier this year.
I mean sure, but what does “massive” really mean? He could have said “super-duper colossal” bubble and that would have been way worse right? It’s not until we’re in super-duper bubble territory that we need to worry? Right?
Gee, where’d everybody go? I have some stocks and bonds I need to sell.
Given that she supported renewing the Export-Import Bank of the United States, Boeing’s bank, one of the most egregious examples of crony capitalism there is, Ms. Warren also chose to support Wall Street. Additionally, her baby the Consumer Financial Financial Board is (illegally?) housed within the Federal Reserve (not subject to Congressional funding oversight) and has become a lobbyist mill already.