“I smell…Central bankers.”
How this obvious truth eludes so many economists is beyond me.
It’s simple. The central banks seek to goose the economy. They lower interest rates below the real market interest rate. As such people, institutions, everyone takes advantage of the relatively cheap credit. But as this cheap credit is taken advantage of malinvestment (that is investment that would not have happened if the market had set rates) begins to build up. It builds and builds and builds until there is so much malinvestment the economy topples on itself.