We are starting to approach what many economists call “full employment.” The point at which the people who are unemployed really are “just between jobs.” There is little long term unemployment. Jobs are plentiful. There is upward pressure on wages. In short, general prosperity.
Can’t you feel it?
You know how this goes. The economy slows down and the authorities just introduce some more “stimulus.”
Where does this “stimulus” come from? Who cares!
The stimulus duct tape is so thick around the world economy at this point, things have been “patched” over so many times, it’s hard to remember what the world economic engine is actually supposed to look like.
A friend of mine refers to the money which flowed to the plethora of “green” energy projects in 2009-2010 as “special welfare for the rich.”
He’s right. I know personally of a handful of prominent lefties who scored big time on the deal(s). The green energy initiative was politically connected money. It was a direct line from taxpayers to the pockets of “investors.” But everybody felt fine about it because “they were doing good while doing well.”
Uh huh. If you buy that I’ve got an algae farm to sell you. No, literally.
Paul Krugman is famous for having said essentially that one of the ways the US could pull itself out of the current recession/depression is by mobilizing for an alien invasion. A War of the Worlds would do the trick. Everyone could build space ships and laser guns and whatever to fight the otherworldly menace. Stimulus. Full employment!
Nothing in housing is fixed. The market is still broken. It might even be worse than before 2008. Government activism (via Fanny and Freddy and most importantly the Federal Reserve) screwed up the market initially and caused the Crash. Yet some in the fever panic thought activist government was the answer to the housing crater caused by government activism.
In order for housing to get back to something close to healthy prices needed (need) to crash more. This would have let young buyers in at sustainable levels (even if credit was tight initially) which would have then pushed blood through the real estate sector. Not zombie blood like we have now. But real honest to goodness economic vitality.
If you want to see what happens when the Keynesian virus truly takes hold of an economy and a society check out Japan. The once juggernaut of economic power, The Land of the Rising Sun, is now a great example of economic and social zombification as Charles Hugh Smith illustrates below.
It took 1 generation.
Most Keynesian economists do not want to admit that we are in another depression. They find the word painful.
Japan had “a lost decade.” Then it had another. We are past the halfway mark of the American “lost decade.”
Keynesianism has failed utterly and completely. It’s not that there wasn’t enough stimulus. It’s that the concept of “stimulus” is bunk. It’s real “voodoo economics.” It is a cult. A dream. And as is increasingly obvious even to the Keynesians, a nightmare.
Here’s what a top Wall Street analyst says.
Indeed we don’t. But we are so conditioned to the idea that the cost of renting money fundamentally should be determined by a central bank that most don’t think anything of monetary policy. When the economy tanks, the Fed’s supposed to ease, when the economy gets too hot it’s supposed to raise rates. This is what we were all taught in our macroeconomics courses. Makes sense…I guess.
Actually not at all. These fluctuations, the business cycle, are created by the world’s central banks.